Oh yeah, their weekend predictions after the movie has been released and fridays numbers come in, are pretty accurate but that's a professional doing that stuff (and there is a common pattern you can usually follow based off the opening day where you can predict the whole weekend... still bounces around but usually you can get much closer to being right). It's not an average for a bunch of users like the derby. Yeah BOM is good for that stuff just most of the stuff I've heard referenced so far are just normal peoples opinions from the forums and predictions.

And one of their writers, your right, is... well, he's not my favorite either

I had an account with BOM before I joined NarniaWeb. So I am well aware of what the derby is and their take on things. Nobody said they or anyone else is the final word; just preliminary guesses.

But the actual numbers will come through that site as well; then we'll see how the derby estimates and our poll estimates and all the others stack up.

EDIT: Oh, and one other thing... in 2005 everyone underestimated LWW thinking King Kong was gonna kill it. Everyone thought 60 mil was tops and I think it ended up with 65 mil. When PC came out, EVERYONE over predicted with weekend predictions going from 70-80 mil. So I think this is going to be a hard movie for anyone to predict. The series has been pretty unpredictable.

I agree with how Narnia has been difficult to predict so far. VDT could go above, below, or come close to the guestimates we've seen. Must make the studio execs nervous.

I voted 30-40 mil. My hopes for VDT are really low right now. Not for the movie, i think that is gonna be great, I just don't think the audiences will go out and support it. Lets hope I'm wrong!