I would be shocked if it made more than LWW. Though I definitely think it'll make more than PC.
If it does make more than LWW, I suspect that will only be because of the ticket price of seeing a movie in 3D.
I wouldn't mind being wrong about this though.

I voted no, but that doesn't mean I don't think it will do well.

It's just that PC was too big of a disaster for VDT's rake-in to recover enough to exceed LWW's profits, plus so many people are more excited about Tron.

It'll do okay, being a family movie released over the holidays.

I'll be happy if the movie does better than Prince Caspian. That's really all I'm asking for. This is a recovery period for the franchise. If people respond to VDT, I think Silver Chair is the film that stands to pull in more money than any of them.

I'll be happy if the movie does better than Prince Caspian. That's really all I'm asking for. This is a recovery period for the franchise. If people respond to VDT, I think Silver Chair is the film that stands to pull in more money than any of them.

Right, as long as it makes more than Prince Caspian I"ll be satisfied. I think 200 million would be a nice realistic goal.

Yes I am too crossing my fingers in hopes that it does make more money then PC made. I hope all the Narnia movies are made so go see VDT three-five times everyone! It should help if all us fans went to see it that many times.

good point, ya''l! I hope it makes more than VotDT.....it has too really to keep this franchise afloat......right? I mean, if it makes only as much as PC, then what will happen to SC?

Even if this movie doesn't reach full potenial. I still think SC is a garantee going to be made, but if SC goes down then so does the rest of the franchise of being made this generation.

200 million would barely pay for the movie and would insure the franchise ends with VDT. But then if it's horrible, that might be a good thing.

Everyone just see it a lot please. We want this franchise to continue and if it doesn't I'll be a lonely person with nothing else to look forward to. I'll crawl into a little corner whining my little poor eyes too death and have daydreams for the rest of my eternal life before I die.

not really. But I will be very disappointed if it came to that bookwyrm.

I'll simply start over with it when I become a director

Right, as long as it makes more than Prince Caspian I"ll be satisfied. I think 200 million would be a nice realistic goal.

Yes, $200 million would be a good enough amount for the USA domestic gross, which is what I think FriendofNarnia2 had in mind. Another $300-$400 million from overseas and The Silver Chair will be greenlit for sure. (At least that's how I see it.)

I really want VDT to be the best movie possible and if it is, I'm sure it will do well enough for the Narnia series to continue. ~Sail on VDT!~

I doubt VDT will do LWW numbers but I would be very surprised if VDT didn't at least do the business that PC did. Here are a couple reasons:

1. The story is better, and my take on the early buzz is that VDT is a better film than PC
2. Ticket price inflation means that, even if VDT sells the same number of tickets as PC, the dollar total will be higher
3. VDT will also benefit from the premium price attached to 3-D tickets. If the 3-D gets good reviews, this will really help; then again, the 3-D slate is a little crowded in December 2010...so there will be competition.

We can work backwards a bit to see about SC being greenlit. Lets assume that, between production and marketing costs, Fox/Walden "sink" $200 million into VDT (no pun intended). Since studios get roughly half of the box office for a film and usually a bit higher percent from DVD sales, its safe to assume VDT needs to earn $400 million from all sources for the studios to break even.

Caspian made $420 million at the box office, ~$90 million in DVD sales, and pulled $15 million for broadcasting rights in the US. I can only guess about other merchandise. There is no reason VDT cannot meet or beat those numbers.

LWW was the box office beast of this franchise for obvious reasons. It's more widely known and read than the rest of the books, it was the first film in the franchise, and it came out when The Lord of the Rings was still fresh in people's minds.

I'm positive that VDT will not make the kind of numbers we saw for LWW, but there's still a very good chance it will pull in more than PC. And if it's a good film, let's hope it does.

I voted no.

LWW is by far the best know book in the Chronicles of Narnia. Combine that with the fact that (by consensus, though I disagree) PC wasnt as great a movie as LWW by word of mouth, that will hurt its ability to bring in as much as LWW. I expect roughly the same amount of people that saw PC to come out to watch VDT. Since PC had a $56 North American box office opening weekend and ticket prices have slightly inflated since then (along with 3D), I am looking at roughly a $65 opening weekend.

I dont expect VDT to open much greater than that because of PC's perception. However, if VDT is as good as the buzz I am hearing then I am expecting it to drop modestly in coming weeks and pull a "How To Train Your Dragon". Rather than seeing standard drops of 50% from weekend to weekend, word of mouth will be required to keep VDT to drops of 20%-40% assuring box office longevity.

I except VDT to finish its worldwide box office run at roughly $500-$550 million dollars, assuring us of a green-lighting of another Narnia film (since VDT was less expensive to produce). Significantly below LWW, but higher than PC.