If VDT follows LWW's drops, it would gross about $100 million when all is said and done.

Just over 100M to be exact, I posted this on the previous page, along with Friday estimates and comparisons But you all got them in again on this page.

Just over 100M to be exact, I posted this on the previous page, along with Friday estimates and comparisons

Whoops! I didn't see that. Now I feel silly...I spent more than half an hour gathering the statistics by hand and calculating them out. At least I was right... xD

What do you think of the articles below, on VDT at the box office?

http://blastr.com/2010/12/4-reasons-tha ... office.php
http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118029260

What do you think of the articles below, on VDT at the box office?

http://blastr.com/2010/12/4-reasons-tha ... office.php
http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118029260

The first article you linked to only took VDT's opening weekend into consideration. If VDT has strong legs (which it looks like it will) and doesn't drop like a stone like Prince Caspian did, VDT will probably make almost as much worldwide as Prince Caspian.

The second article you linked to only listed numbers. I don't think anything of them except that they're probably true.

@Minotaur: I edited my post, so maybe you can edit yours? I wanted to delete it but that wasn't an option. Some things are better left unsaid...

@Minotaur: I edited my post, so maybe you can edit yours? I wanted to delete it but that wasn't an option. Some things are better left unsaid...

Ok, edited.

You're right, some things are better left unsaid. I think that maybe it would be best if you keep your theory to yourself until it comes true.

Was it a happy theory or a sad theory?
*wishes she checked the thread sooner*
Sorry, things like this drive me nuts!

Good to hear VDT is supposed to do better this weekend, at least.

Alright, here's my VDT projection. It's all approximate.

(Weekends)
1st: $24,000,000
2nd: $12,700,000 (-47%)
3rd: $8,300,000 (-35%)
4th $11,600,000 (+40%)
5th: $7,000,000 (-40%)
6th: $4,500,000 (-35%)
7th: $2,500,000 (-45%)
8th: $2,250,000 (-10%)
9th: $1,350,000 (-40%)
10th: $1,000,000 (-25%)
11th: $700,000 (-30%)
12th: $350,000 (-50%)

Weekends total: $76,250,000
Non-weekend total: $33,000,000
Final domestic gross: $109,250,000

I may have overguessed on a few weeks, but it's all based on the way LWW dropped in the wintertime, and how box office plays out when certain days of the week fall on different holidays. We do have hope for $100M!

Wagga, I don't know about Tron being a rip-off of A Wrinkle in Time (personally I don't see the similarities). I see allusions to the New Testament and computer technology and sci-fi fiction of the time. There are lots of technical computer references and injokes within the movie (the original at least). I also don't believe Tron will be 'frightening'. It's not a horror movie, even a thriller. Maybe a sci-fi adventure.

We'll see how VDT goes. People who haven't read the book seem to enjoy it much more than those who've read the book. That doesn't bode well for us fans but it may not be so bad for everyone else.

Well, I heard from a fellow VDT fan who said he thought that this movie was damaged by Walt Disney pulling out of the previous one. That more or less labelled VDT as cactus before they even produced the movie.

I don't know what the original Tron was about. I've only that reviewer's opinion, and it seems he didn't like the original, and thinks even less of the sequel. Or your opinion since you have seen the original. And I apologise if I have been judging the new movie Tron:legacy too harshly from its trailer, having no books to reference it against.

I grant you it is Sci-fi, and it appears to be Sci-fi in the same way Terminator and Transformers are sci-fi. I've happily watched Star Wars, Star Trek a bit less enthusiastically (along with the Simpsons ) and other Sci -fi movies on occasion. But I don't like great pieces of mechanised junk! The trailer looked to me too dark, too black and bleak, and too much reminiscent of what is sometimes referred to as a Mafia mod squad car (usually black with tinted windows) not to mention the violently irritable black clad minions who might be driving them.

I understand it is all about a son going in search of his missing father (hence my reference to A wrinkle in time, in which a missing father is also sought somewhere out in space on Camazotz.) There is something about this movie in the trailer I found a distinct turn off. I think it was that futuristic gantry-like thingy they use in that trailer. Or that leader bloke telling Flynn that he wasn't his father

Getting back to the box office, VDT led last weekend in USA with $24 million according to our Sunday Telegraph box office top ten stats, in what might well have been a miserable weekend for going to the movies. The Tourist came second with $16 million. And whereas Megamind got a bumper 5.1 million here when it opened here last weekend, it bottomed the list with 2.5 million last weekend in USA. Tron's statistics won't be mentioned until next weekend. As for Harry Potter, whilst it tied with VDT in Australia, at 2.9 million, in USA it earned $8.5 million.

http://www.deadline.com/2010/12/tron-legacy-3d-opens-to-3-5m-midnights-record-25-from-imax-theaters/

LWW dropped 51.4% while PC dropped 58.6% on their second weekends. Deadline is reporting that VDT's second weekend is 47.6% off from opening weekend for a total of $12.6M and a cume of $43M. I expect BOM's numbers to be a bit more refined.

EDIT: BOM is reporting a $12.4M weekend, a 48.3% which is smaller than LWW's and PC's drops. Though it was 4th for Friday, it bumped up a spot and came in 3rd for the weekend. Cume is $42.7M.

Wagga, I'm not sure I understand your reasonings and unless the sequel is vastly different from the original, I don't think the dark look is anything more than the art direction. The original was certainly much less dark than The Terminator (it's PG after all) and even less so than Star Wars (which we can all agree is pretty mild). It might not be to your tastes and that's okay but nothing strikes me about the movie as being adult. I've also heard that the story is nothing new but that the visuals are very good.
I see where you're coming from about the Wrinkle in Time reference but that's probably the only similarity with the book, other than it being sci-fi/fantasy of course!

@Minotaur: I don't know the timeline, how anything God has shown me will play out. I've already received 2-3 surprises in the last two weeks. Who knows what else will happen?

I expect BOM's numbers to be a bit more refined.

Weekend estimates are in. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

1 N Tron Legacy BV $43,600,000 - 3,451 - $12,634 $43,600,000 $170 1
2 N Yogi Bear WB $16,705,000 - 3,515 - $4,752 $16,705,000 $80 1
3 1 VDT Fox $12,400,000 -48.3% 3,555 - $3,488 $42,764,000 $155 2

The estimate for it has dropped by $400k, but it still has a smaller weekend to weekend drop than LWW, Golden Compass, Eragon, and PC as Narnian1 said. Yogi Bear performs dismally, and Tron Legacy falls short of expectations.

It seems that almost every major movie is struggling this winter. The Fighter had a nice 3,966.5% increase on the weekend, though.

I would go watch Yogi Bear if it were not taking money away from Narnia.

On the other hand, I am royally infuriated at the upcoming adaptation of Gulliver's Travels. I love that book- yet this adaptation is grossing.me.out. So no Gulliver for me, no matter how much I liked that book.

I will go see Black Swan in a couple weeks when it is not as crucial that VDT holds up.

Tron is a hard sell for me to watch since I am not familiar with the original. A lot of my friends are looking forward to it.

Most Gulliver Travels adaptations only seem to deal with the Lilliputians. If the people of Brobdinang (Sp?) get a mention, I'd be surprised, let alone the horse people and the Yahoos, the original Gulliver's Travels mentioned.

Gulliver's Travels was meant to be a political satire.