My impossible dream would be for positive word of mouth to bring the film 85 million in its 2nd week, with Tron only grossing 50 million. Unfortunatly that will never happen.

Well I live in the UK and to be honest the Box office numbers are pretty bad, and there isn't to much of an excuse, but there are few factors I could think up that would have affected the weekend performance.

1.) The X-Factor final. Love or hate it, the a large majority of the nation are obsesed by it, and with the final running on Saturaday and Sunday it is said around 17 million people watched it. #cough# #cough#

2.) The Schools are yet to break up

3.) The Snow, although probabbly had little to know affect may have effected the people like ME.
Who lives in the country
and roads all frozen
to dangerous
to see
Narnia.

Anyway that is just my view on the UK Numbers, I haven't watched the film yet, and am tempted to simply wait out for the DVD, seeing as money is hard to come by nowadays, causing me to extra selective/fussy on the films I choose to go and watch at the cinema.

I went to see Narnia for the fourth time last night. Although it was a thursday....the theather was disappointingly empty.

There was me and seven friends....plus 20 other people. In a theater that could seat 250.

I am glad to hear that Narnia had a good hold over in Australia.
I think that is especially important for Narniawebbers to get out and see it this weekend. It has to show some face against Tron and Yogi (Yuck! is it just me or does this look terrible?) this weekend or we are done. If you haven't seen it again, now is the time!
I think a realistic second weekend is probably between 15-18 Million. I just want there to be good enough attendance so that it doesn't loose theater counts before school lets out for the holidays. :S

I think that Nanria 3 has to make at LEAST 300 Million in the foreign boxoffice to help compensate for the its poor north american showings. Prince Caspian only made 280 Million in the foreign box office so 300 million might be a bit of a long shot for VDT.

One good piece of box office news is that the theater count did not change for VDT here in the USA. Same as last week's 3,555. If it can have a decent hold this weekend and hold on to most of it theaters for the holiday period, that would be a big plus.

Box Office Mojo theater count link: http://boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/? ... =51&p=.htm

From what I understand movies pretty much always keep the same theater count for at least two weeks. It's the performance during the second week that determines how many theaters it will lose on its third week.

So basically this weekend is VERY important.

On Thursday Narnia made $1,569,664, a nice 10% increase, and the second best jump out of the top 10 films.

On the same day LWW increased 3.7% and TGC dropped 11.4%. It is great to see that VDT is pulling ahead of TGC.

I haven't watched the film yet, and am tempted to simply wait out for the DVD, seeing as money is hard to come by nowadays, causing me to extra selective/fussy on the films I choose to go and watch at the cinema.

That right there is the attitude that is killing the series.

FriendofNarnia2, I`m glad to see the increase! I hope it doesn`t drop too much and keeps on staying strong!

So basically this weekend is VERY important.

Definitely...I remember that with Avatar on the boxofficemojo forums, after the first weekend it looked like it would have an average gross, after the second weekend, oh em gee contender for the top movie of all time!

One thing that worries me...The Golden Compass dropped more than 65% on its second weekend due to the released of I am Legend and Alvin and the Chipmunks. Dawn Treader will be up against two films that roughly compare...Tron Legacy (for expected gross), and Yogi Bear.

LWW dropped 51% after going up against King Kong and the Family Stone. Currently the Derby on boxofficemojo predicts that VDT will somehow drop less than LWW, even though it's up against films that are aimed closer to it's target audience.

Random sad fact: VDT's opening weekend was smaller than LWW's fourth weekend.

Off topic, but something I've been wondering: How on earth did we get the homonym gross - to make money, gross - disgusting in our language?

Random sad fact: VDT's opening weekend was smaller than LWW's fourth weekend.

Well, that is certainly a depressing way of looking at it. But then again LWW made on its fourth weekend pretty much the same amount of what it made on its second weekend, and VDT will probably do about the same thing.

Yes, I remember following Avatar, and after its first weekend drop thinking, "Wow! This thing is going to be big." But when I said big, I was thinking 400 million or so. It wasn't until it only dropped 1.8% it's second weekend that I knew it was going to sink the Titanic.

Now I don't think it will do anything like that. I would be very pleased if it dropped 40%, but most likely it will drop somewhere around 50%. The good news is that after that, it should stay pretty steady the next couple of weeks do to Christmas break.

My impossible dream would be for positive word of mouth to bring the film 85 million in its 2nd week, with Tron only grossing 50 million. Unfortunatly that will never happen.

I wouldn't be so pessimistic about Tron doing so much better than VDT. Yes, it is being pushed somewhat more than VDT, along with other movies which won't be released. Yes, it is full of mechanical gizmoes geared to frighten.

But in today's Daily Telegraph (Sydney), I was amused to see the same reviewer who marooned the Dawn Treader in the Deathly Shallows, labelling even the first Tron movie as 'pants', denouncing this version as something dreamed up by someone with sequelitis, and suggesting that whilst the special effects were great, the audience should switch off their brains to enjoy it.

Tron isn't my cup of tea to begin with. The story seems like a bit of a rip-off of Madeleine L'Engle's 'A wrinkle in time'. If Tron does no better than VDT, then Walt Disney will have nothing to crow about, will it?

Yogi looks like... terrible, to put it nicely. I think the biggest problem will be Tron. I'm praying VDT does well.

We can beat this!

Well Tron made 3.6 million from midnight showings. That is more than both Avatar and I Am Legend (Two movies that came out around the same time of year). What we don't know is whether this is the type of movie that would have most of its fans rushing out to see it opening night, or is genuinely a film that will do quite well this weekend. At the moment 50 million opening weekend looks very promising for this film.

Yogi looks like... terrible, to put it nicely. I think the biggest problem will be Tron. I'm praying VDT does well.

We can beat this!

I agree 100,000,000% That's a movie that will flop terribly. Maybe Tron won't be such a big problem as we thought it will be...

Well I live in the UK and to be honest the Box office numbers are pretty bad, and there isn't to much of an excuse, but there are few factors I could think up that would have affected the weekend performance.

1.) The X-Factor final. Love or hate it, the a large majority of the nation are obsesed by it, and with the final running on Saturaday and Sunday it is said around 17 million people watched it. #cough# #cough#

2.) The Schools are yet to break up

3.) The Snow, although probabbly had little to know affect may have effected the people like ME.
Who lives in the country
and roads all frozen
to dangerous
to see
Narnia.

Anyway that is just my view on the UK Numbers, I haven't watched the film yet, and am tempted to simply wait out for the DVD, seeing as money is hard to come by nowadays, causing me to extra selective/fussy on the films I choose to go and watch at the cinema.

Yeah, that kind of attitude by Narnia fans guarantees that the Silver Chair will never be made. At least give the movie a chance.