I think that it will get 600-700 million, partly for the reasons fantasia_kitty said, and also because it will be in 3-D, which is probably going to boost profits.

I also voted for $600-$700 million range. For one thing, I think VDT's story will have wider appeal than PC's. Also, as pointed out above, the box office will benefit from the Christmas/New Year holiday period. (It will also be interesting to see how much the 3D helps.)

I won't be too unhappy if it hits the $500-$600 million range. Only if it made less than PC would I really be disappointed.

500-600. It will perform better than Caspian, cause it will have an adventure feeling and will be more child-friendly. I also think they promoted it better with the Christian organisations, wich are a big part of the book readers and audience. Also they have less competition than Prince Caspian. HP 7 will be in it's fourth week and Tron: Legacy is more adult, SF-oriented.

I've also voted for $500-$600; seems to make the most sense. Don't think it will do better than LWW, although, as FK said, that would be terrific.

If it doesn't do better than PC I think we can kiss the Narnia movies goodbye. Here's hoping that wont happen...

I'll always be a,
NL101

I went for $500-$600m.

The higher 3D ticket prices should ensure that VDT outperforms PC. Given that 3D tickets are almost double the price of regular tickets, VDT could almost afford to suffer a decline in popularity, but still come out ahead of PC in boxoffice terms.

I honestly think VDT would have to do spectacularly bad to not outgross PC. Thanks to 3D prices, The Last Airbender only just fell short of Prince Caspians's Domestic takings, and that is widely regarded to be the worst reviewed summer blockbuster of the last 10-15 years. I would be fairly certain that VDT can do better than that.

Also, the advantage of PC having underperformed is that now the bar has been set really low for VDT, and anything more than Prince Caspian's $419m is going to look like a nice upward trend on the account sheets. Plus the lower production budget on the movie should ensure a higher profit margin, even on a comparably similar boxoffice taking.

I honestly think VDT would have to do spectacularly bad to not outgross PC. Thanks to 3D prices, The Last Airbender only just fell short of Prince Caspians's Domestic takings, and that is widely regarded to be the worst reviewed summer blockbuster of the last 10-15 years. I would be fairly certain that VDT can do better than that.

While it is true that movies with very poor reviews can be immensely successful (i.e. Transformers), reviews don't seem to be the biggest impact on a box office return. Audience familiarity seems to be a key, which is why films like The Last Airbender can be successful, because they are based on something already widely known and liked. The same goes for How to Train your Dragon and Toy Story 3, which were both kiddie cgi-animated 3D movies with 98% on Rotten Tomatoes, but Toy Story 3 made three times as much money because it's concept was so well known.

I think VDT will get hurt by PC's deviation from the family film feel, but it also has a good chance of doing just as well as PC, if not better. Though I won't be shocked beyond belief if this film tanks, because they're messing up the marketing on this film by promoting Peter, Susan, and the White Witch, which is confusing both casual and hard-core fans alike.

I went for $400-$500m.

I really think it depends on trailer # 2. If the second trailer makes the film look good I think it will get at least 500 million. If the second trailer is like the first one (and the Dvd trailer) then I don't think it will do well.

So since they have spent less money on VotDT does that mean it won't look as good as PC? I don't like PC, but the one improvement i will give it is the costumes and just the look and feel of the film was better then LWW. Is that going to be lost in VotDT because they spent less money?

I think it's a good thing the budget is down, makes it easier to make a good profit. This movie isn't meant to be epic. They don't need hundreds of extras as Telmarines or all the CGI involved with Narnian armies (Fauns, Centaurs, Satyrs).
Besides 140-150 Million $ is still a big budget film. The first 5 Harry Potter Movies had a budget of 100-150 Million dollars and they look amazing. The Lord Of The Rings films had a combined budget of 285 Million $ (93 Million per movie).
So budget shouldn't be a problem.

I think it should be better then LWW not that it was terrible, but a lot of things looked like plastic.

I voted between $500Mil-$600Mil because it is a very familiar story and it's being released around a family filled month. I can see this film being very popular among family members that other families will recommend. If it's that good it might just surprise us at box office and grossings could increase.

A lot I hope.... I said 500 to 600 mil.
How much do you think they need to make to have SC greenlit?

A lot I hope.... I said 500 to 600 mil.
How much do you think they need to make to have SC greenlit?

I think it will have to make at least as much as PC, maybe even a little less since they had a lower budget.

I had a dream last week that VDT made $600-$700, so that's what I voted for! haha!