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[Closed] Dawn Treader Competition

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bkey
 bkey
(@bkey)
NarniaWeb Nut

Eh, big budget doesn't necessarily mean that the movie will makes lots of money. Plenty of movies with rather large budgets have been financial failures (i.e. Speed Racer).

Also, Gulliver's Travels is a 20th Century Fox film as well. The studio wouldn't release two films so close together if they thought that one would hurt the profits of the other.

If there's anything I'm worried about, it's Tron Legacy. Disney has been heavily marketing that movie for at least a month now, and there is a ton of positive internet buzz for it right now.

However, we also have to remember that this is being released in the winter movie season. Because no big movies are released in January and February, the movies that come out in December have a lot of time to rule at the box office with fairly little new competition.

Look at this past year, for example.
Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, and Alvin and the Chipmunks were all released within 8 days of each other (Alvin and Sherlock released on the same weekend). Of course, Avatar went on to become the highest grossing film of all time with over $700 million domestically, the other two both made over $200 million domestically. The Blind Side was also released at the end of November and made a little over $255 domestically.

This trend holds up if you look at years past as well, two or more blockbuster films can both succeed financially during winter even when released close to each other.

Posted : June 4, 2010 10:28 am
narnialover101
(@narnialover101)
NarniaWeb Nut

That's what I was thinking, Booky. ;)) Besides that, the movie is distributed by Fox, and I don't think they'd release one movie that was going to hurt another of their movies.

what's Tron?


I'm not sure on the specifics of it; it's either a remake or a sequel, but it is distributed by Disney and releases just a week after VDT:
http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1810096458/info
From what I can gather, it seems pretty popular.

I'll always be a,
NL101 :)


Rest in Peace Old Narniaweb
(2003-2009)

Posted : June 4, 2010 10:31 am
Liberty Hoffman
(@liberty-hoffman)
NarniaWeb Master

^^ thanks for the link! um, are their any big reasons that this movie could mess up VotDT?


NW sister - wild rose ~ NW big sis - ramagut
Born in the water
Take quick to the trees
I want all that You are

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EADBC57vKfQ

Posted : June 4, 2010 10:44 am
FriendofNarnia2
(@friendofnarnia2)
NarniaWeb Nut

The original TRON film that was made in the 80's was a box office disappointment, but this one seems to be much better. I think it will make quite a bit more than VDT, but not enough to severely hurt it. Plus, I think they can both survive just fine side by side.

I think that if Gulliver's Travels had been a good film, we could have reason to be concerned, but it looks so bad I don't think there is reason to be concerned. I don't know who would go see that disaster.

Check out "The Magician's Nephew" and "The Last Battle" trailers I created!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vwWtuk3Qafg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KrPxboeZqrA

Posted : June 4, 2010 10:49 am
Liberty Hoffman
(@liberty-hoffman)
NarniaWeb Master

^^ do you think that the audience for VotDT will be the same/similar for Tron?


NW sister - wild rose ~ NW big sis - ramagut
Born in the water
Take quick to the trees
I want all that You are

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EADBC57vKfQ

Posted : June 4, 2010 10:51 am
DamselJillPole
(@damseljillpole)
NarniaWeb Fanatic

Yeah that movie looks so poor and doesn't look any good. I'm just worried about Tron 2 right now and if it interferes with VDT's grossing at box office. I think Tron 2 is VDT's biggest threat at the moment.


Long Live King Caspian & Queen Liliandil Forever!
Jill+Tirian! Let there be Jilrian!

Posted : June 4, 2010 10:54 am
Josh
 Josh
(@josh)
NarniaWeb Junkie

160 million isnt that huge anyway by today's standards, so I don't think either film will wow the audience by their budget.

By the way, what is the exact budget for VotDT? Is it 100 million or 140 million? Or is it more?

Winter Is Coming

Posted : June 9, 2010 4:33 pm
spartan5
(@spartan5)
NarniaWeb Nut

160 million isnt that huge anyway by today's standards, so I don't think either film will wow the audience by their budget.

By the way, what is the exact budget for VotDT? Is it 100 million or 140 million? Or is it more?

In the neighborhood of $140 million (US). Marketing likely on top of that.

Posted : June 9, 2010 4:39 pm
CorazonBandido55
(@corazonbandido55)
NarniaWeb Nut

Looks like "The Fighter" will be released on Dec 10, 2010 also in the North American Box Office. Starring Mark Wahlberg (The Departed), Amy Adams (Enchanted) & Christian Bale (Dark Knight). thoughts?

your fellow Telmarine

Posted : June 26, 2010 8:31 am
bkey
 bkey
(@bkey)
NarniaWeb Nut

No competition. The Fighter is going to be an Oscar-bait type film, possibly rated R, and most likely will have a limited release on Dec. 10, before opening wider. It probably will be an excellent movie, and there's talk of Christian Bale maybe getting his first Oscar nomination for his role in the film, but in terms of a box office threat to VDT it's virtually non-existent.

Posted : June 28, 2010 3:35 am
Josh
 Josh
(@josh)
NarniaWeb Junkie

I just saw the Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows preview...which was awsome.

I'm afraid that that movie being set up as the huge even it is, will be number one for a few weeks.

And since the Narnia trailer wasnt that good, I can see it doing poorly.

The second trailer better be excellent, otherwise I'm worried for the series.

Winter Is Coming

Posted : June 29, 2010 4:40 am
equustel
(@equustel)
NarniaWeb Regular

Harry Potter 7 will not affect VDT's numbers. It comes out almost a full month before VDT. No matter how much of a hit it is (and I agree, it'll be huge), it won't be making enough a month later to steal the top spot from a fresh new winter tentpole release like VDT.

"A man can no more diminish God's glory by refusing to worship Him than a lunatic can put out the sun by scribbling the word 'darkness' on the walls of his cell." (C.S. Lewis, The Problem of Pain)

Posted : June 29, 2010 6:39 am
Josh
 Josh
(@josh)
NarniaWeb Junkie

I'm not saying it will top the opening weekend of VotDT, but I think in the long run, HP 7 will be in theaters longer than VotDT.

Winter Is Coming

Posted : June 29, 2010 5:32 pm
bkey
 bkey
(@bkey)
NarniaWeb Nut

I mean, it very well may be, but like I posted a page or two back, it's very easy for several movies to do well in the box office at the same time, especially during the winter movie season. Just look at Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, Alvin & the Chipmunks 2, and The Blind Side from last year. All made over $200 million domestically, and all were released within a few weeks of each other. Alvin and Sherlock were released on the same weekend.

Posted : June 30, 2010 3:09 am
Warrior 4 Jesus
(@warrior-4-jesus)
NarniaWeb Fanatic

How on earth did Alvin and the Chipmunks 2 make that much money in the US, let alone more world-wide? The original series was a classic. I've seen the first movie and Theodore was cute but it didn't resemble the series at all. I guess the Twilight series sell extremely well too and we all know how high quality that franchise is. :p

Currently watching:
Doctor Who - Season 11

Posted : June 30, 2010 3:49 am
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